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Is LeDao the Cure for NIO's Losses?

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An unexpected blend of optimism and caution permeates the recent quarterly earnings report of NIO, the Chinese automobile manufacturer that has distinguished itself in the competitive electric vehicle (EV) marketReleased on September 5, the report for the second quarter of 2024 highlighted a striking revenue increase, with total earnings reaching an impressive ¥17.446 billion (approximately $2.35 billion). This figure marks a monumental 98.9% growth compared to the second quarter of 2023 and a robust 76.1% increase from the first quarter of 2024, setting a record for the highest quarterly revenue realization in the company's history.

Against the backdrop of these encouraging revenue figures, NIO has also seen a significant uptick in vehicle deliveriesIn the second quarter alone, the company delivered 57,373 new vehicles, which is a remarkable 143.9% year-on-year increaseHowever, despite the surge in revenue and deliveries, the company continues to grapple with substantial losses, reflecting the challenging economic landscape for EV manufacturers

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NIO's net loss for the second quarter stood at ¥5.046 billion ($688 million), which, although slightly down from the ¥5.185 billion ($715 million) recorded in the first quarter, is still a point of concern since total losses in the first half of the year have exceeded ¥10.2 billion ($1.4 billion).

NIO's CEO, Li Bin, has remained optimistic amid these financial hurdles, asserting that strategic investments will position the company positively in the long runDuring the earnings call, he revealed that the release of the highly anticipated NIO L60 is scheduled for September 19, with deliveries commencing in the same monthLi stated that the company aims to achieve total deliveries of 20,000 units in the fourth quarter, with a goal of delivering 10,000 units in December aloneThis ambitious plan reflects the company's determination not only to expand its model lineup but also to capture a more considerable market share in the rapidly evolving EV landscape.

One of the salient features of NIO’s strategy has been its high investment in various aspects of its business, from expanding its battery swapping network to developing new vehicle models

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According to insights from Ma Qiancheng, the founder of the Electric Vehicle Industry Platform, NIO is doubling down on its investments, indicating that the company is not merely resting on its laurelsHe noted that beyond existing models, NIO is targeting additional products like the L60 and other upcoming models, alongside substantial investments in mobile technology and the entire supply chain.

This commitment to “high input” has become synonymous with NIO, particularly in light of the reported R&D expenses totaling ¥3.2185 billion ($440 million) for the second quarter, reflecting a 12.4% increase from the first quarter of the yearFurthermore, the company’s selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A) surged dramatically to ¥3.7575 billion ($515 million) in Q2, signifying a 31.5% increase year-over-year and a 25.4% uptick compared to the preceding quarter

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NIO attributed this increase largely to heightened personnel costs related to sales functions and expanded marketing activities.

In the earnings call, NIO’s CFO, Qu Yu, assured stakeholders that future quarters would maintain a substantial investment level of around ¥3 billion ($410 million), with fluctuations based on project demandsAs the anticipated launch of the L60 approaches, sales and marketing expenditures will likely rise, but the CFO indicated that the sales management expenses as a percentage of total sales should gradually improve as delivery volumes increase.

Experts closely analyzing the situation have noted that NIO’s high levels of R&D investment aim to bolster sales through a multicultural approach encompassing multiple brands and product linesThis strategic vision is designed to facilitate NIO’s growth trajectory, with the hope that increased volumes will drive down per-unit research and development costs.

Recent delivery data further supports the assertion that NIO is on an upward trajectory

The company recorded impressive monthly deliveries between May and August 2024, consistently exceeding 20,000 units each monthCumulatively, NIO delivered 128,100 vehicles during the first eight months of the year, achieving a year-on-year growth of 35.77%. This uptick in deliveries has positively influenced NIO's gross margin, which reached 12.2% during Q2, a notable recovery from 6.2% in Q2 of 2023 and 9.2% in Q1 of 2024. NIO expressed hopes of reaching a gross-margin objective of 15% by Q4.

As NIO eyes the ambitious goal of a 15% gross margin, industry analysts, including Zhang Xiang from the Beijing Zhongzhi Huaxing Engineering Technology Research Institute, highlight that the company’s previous investments and extensive battery swapping station development could significantly reduce per-vehicle research, management, and marketing costs as sales volumes increaseIn light of this, the company’s long-term profitability appears promising if sales can keep pace.

The spotlight now shines on the L60, a model expected to shift NIO’s profitability narrative

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Positioned strategically in the family vehicle segment and set to be officially launched on September 19, the L60 is priced to be ¥219,900 ($30,000), approximately ¥30,000 ($4,000) less than the Tesla Model YLi Bin hinted that final pricing might be adjusted to be slightly lower while ensuring a balanced gross margin that does not overly compromise profitability.

As the L60's design focuses on mass-market appeal, comparisons with other competitors like the Tesla Model Y, Zhiji LS6, and the popular hybrid vehicles are inevitableMa Qiancheng noted that while the L60 is challenging Tesla's offerings, NIO faces no direct competition within the EV segment, as customers immobilized by traditional fuel vehicles begin transitioning to electric alternativesMa expressed an optimistic view that if positioned well and priced effectively, the L60 could reach monthly sales exceeding ten thousand units, significantly bolstering NIO’s overall performance.

However, achieving profitability remains a complex undertaking, especially as the new brand navigates the market waters

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